NERVE — Network Earnings & Risk Visibility Engine

Project NERVE v14-AI | Model v13 + AI Analytics | n=26,167 | CRITICAL 95.6% precision | HIGH 93.8% | Combined 92.8% (3mo grace) | June 2026

Renewal Management — Actionable List

Residential lease contracts approaching expiry or already expired. Filter by status, risk level, and profitability to prioritize outreach. Leases apply to residential lockers only — commercial lockers operate via partnership agreements without rental contracts.

ℹ Definitions

Upcoming: Active contract with known expiry date in the future.
Expired: Contract past expiry, not renewed, but locker still operating (often at zero rent = free revenue).
Churn Score: Composite risk score (0-10). Higher = more likely to not renew. Based on DPMO trend, throughput decline, ticket spikes.
HIGH RISK: Churn score >5 + performance signals suggest non-renewal likely.
MODERATE: Churn score 3-5, some signals present.
HEALTHY: Low churn risk, stable performance.
KEEP (expired): Profitable at zero rent. Do NOT contact partner — any conversation risks prompting removal.
MONITOR (expired): Unprofitable but stable. Review quarterly.

1,631
Total Shown
90
At-Risk (filtered)
Net Negative
Avg Net $/mo
Annual Loss (filtered)

Key Principles

Expired Leases = Lost Revenue Opportunity

406 residential leases expired — partners stopped paying lease fees ($3.16M/yr in lost revenue). Many lockers still generate positive PnL from transport savings. Strategy: Pursue renewal outreach to restore lease payments. Do NOT remove any locker with positive PnL even if lease is expired.

Churn Signals ≠ Certainty

40% of past non-renewals had detectable signals 12 months before expiry. But 18% of lockers WITH signals still renewed. Use signals for prioritization, not automatic action.

Full Renewal List

KIDAccountParentExpiryStatusRisk/DecisionRecommendation Net$/moDPMOTputTix YTDDispatchesChurn ScoreTierAgeStateIssues/Signals